The textbook considers probabilistic and statistical methods of modeling the maintenance of vehicles as one of the most important areas of applied science. The manual contains the theoretical foundations of probabilistic and statistical methods, which are a necessary condition for building effective models of technical means of transportation. Reliability and time of trouble-free operation of vehicles are investigated by models and methods of forecasting of time series and correlation-regression analysis. Modeling of rolling stock operation using Markov random processes at the stage of car operation forecasting is considered both in the state of operation and in the state of downtime, depending on the reasons. The graph of states of operation of vehicles is used.
The manual is designed for masters, PhD students, technicians and researchers.
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